Entry prices reflect the date each signal was added to the Observatory dashboard. All returns are price returns only, not total returns. ZC=F is the continuous front-month corn futures contract — price discontinuities at roll dates are expected.
SPY
+5.39%
$658.93 → $694.46
Backtest expectation: +5.6% over 6m
— 5.39% so far (9d in)
Score 2/2 BULLISH. Signal first identified internally ~Feb 2026 when S&P 500 was approximately 2–3% lower than the 2026-04-06 entry price. Track record entry seeded at Observatory dashboard addition date; this gap is intentional and disclosed.
GLD
+1.64%
$437.91 → $445.09
SLV
+5.34%
$68.39 → $72.04
Spread
+3.70pp
SPY
+2.14%
α +1.56pp
Backtest expectation: +15.4% over 24m
— 3.70% so far (6d in)
GSR=86.07 at entry (94th pct). Signal active since GSR crossed 80. Track record entry seeded at Observatory launch 2026-04-09.
Closed Positions
COT commercial z=−2.62 (extreme short). Contrarian buy signal. Signal was killed by battery before hypothesis could be tested over a meaningful horizon.