Track Record

Live performance of active trading signals since Observatory launch on 2026-04-09.

2 OPEN Started 2026-04-09 Updated 2026-04-15 Not investment advice

Entry prices reflect the date each signal was added to the Observatory dashboard. All returns are price returns only, not total returns. ZC=F is the continuous front-month corn futures contract — price discontinuities at roll dates are expected.

Kitchin Composite

LONG S&P 500
9d open
SPY +5.39% $658.93 → $694.46
Backtest expectation: +5.6% over 6m — 5.39% so far (9d in)
Score 2/2 BULLISH. Signal first identified internally ~Feb 2026 when S&P 500 was approximately 2–3% lower than the 2026-04-06 entry price. Track record entry seeded at Observatory dashboard addition date; this gap is intentional and disclosed.

Gold/Silver Ratio

LONG SILVER / SHORT GOLD
6d open
GLD +1.64% $437.91 → $445.09
SLV +5.34% $68.39 → $72.04
Spread +3.70pp
SPY +2.14% α +1.56pp
Backtest expectation: +15.4% over 24m — 3.70% so far (6d in)
GSR=86.07 at entry (94th pct). Signal active since GSR crossed 80. Track record entry seeded at Observatory launch 2026-04-09.

Closed Positions

COT Corn — Commercial Extreme

LONG CORN
7d
ZC=F -0.11%
COT commercial z=−2.62 (extreme short). Contrarian buy signal. Signal was killed by battery before hypothesis could be tested over a meaningful horizon.